Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.212522 2.949551e-01 0.387351 0.496453 0.619881 0.753584 0.907868
2025-10-26 0.116934 2.236822e-01 0.360370 0.537299 0.751681 0.996297 1.290544
2025-11-02 0.063800 1.712401e-01 0.326677 0.542437 0.816213 1.138736 1.536072
2025-11-09 0.022663 1.126749e-01 0.268933 0.505088 0.820158 1.203521 1.686793
2025-11-16 0.003263 6.765681e-02 0.215312 0.461411 0.806874 1.240211 1.797875
2025-11-23 NaN 4.403310e-02 0.187126 0.447315 0.827459 1.315125 1.951956
2025-11-30 NaN 3.233793e-02 0.176486 0.456810 0.877987 1.426441 2.149488
2025-12-07 NaN 2.039943e-02 0.158927 0.451973 0.906535 1.508252 2.309621
2025-12-14 NaN 9.705918e-03 0.135292 0.432711 0.911951 1.558289 2.428850
2025-12-21 NaN 8.291549e-03 0.140740 0.464699 0.991947 1.706418 2.671469
2025-12-28 NaN 7.202233e-03 0.146739 0.497570 1.073282 1.856454 2.916723
2026-01-04 NaN 5.026340e-03 0.145781 0.516869 1.134177 1.979248 3.127556
2026-01-11 NaN 5.122772e-03 0.157870 0.563581 1.239886 2.166600 3.426543
2026-01-18 NaN 4.327627e-03 0.164444 0.600145 1.331271 2.336133 3.704727
2026-01-25 NaN 1.984933e-03 0.156653 0.607486 1.377680 2.444778 3.904889
2026-02-01 NaN 4.580340e-08 0.127310 0.567313 1.349171 2.451015 3.973285
2026-02-08 NaN NaN 0.098276 0.520947 1.307385 2.436778 4.013470
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.084611 0.505881 1.313582 2.487190 4.136043
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.081497 0.516018 1.360674 2.594425 4.332640
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.073038 0.510857 1.381833 2.665019 4.481147
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.060047 0.490299 1.375892 2.696692 4.578065
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.065835 0.524426 1.463362 2.861103 4.850139
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.071932 0.559422 1.552365 3.027780 5.125336